Thursday, June 30, 2016

Series Preview: Marlins v Braves June 30 - July 3rd

There's a few interesting things about this Marlins series this holiday weekend. The first thing is that the final game on Sunday will be played in Fort Bragg to celebrate the military. The second thing is that Mike Foltynewicz is supposed to come off the DL on Thursday and pitch. The third thing is that the Braves have beaten up on the Marlins this year so far with a 6-2 record. So it might all add up to a fun weekend at the Ted & Fort. On to the matchups!

Game 1 - Folty v. Chen
Game 2 - Teheran v. Nicolino
Game 3 - Norris v. Fernandez
Game 4 - Wisler v. Conley

Braves Record: 26-52 (5th in division) 2 game losing streak
Marlins Record: 41-37 (2nd in division) 3 game losing streak

Braves pitchers key stats:
Folty 3.51 ERA, 1.26 WHIP, 8/28 BB/K
Teheran 2.46 ERA, 0.89 WHIP, 24/99 BB/K
Norris 4.22 ERA, 1.36 WHIP, 28/60 BB/K
Wisler 4.14 ERA, 1.22 WHIP, 28/70 BB/K

Marlins pitchers key stats:
Chen 5.00 ERA, 1.29 WHIP, 19/72 BB/K
Nicolino 5.17 ERA, 1.54 WHIP, 14/27 BB/K
Fernandez 2.28 ERA, 0.99 WHIP, 30/138 BB/K
Conley 3.90 ERA, 1.36 WHIP, 38/85 BB/K

I would say simply looking at the pitching matchups that the Braves would be favored in two of the games, and underdogs in the last two. That's highly dependent on how Folty pitches since he's coming off the DL in the first game, but Chen for the Marlins hasn't been worth a damn on the mound this year. Neither has Nicolino for that matter, and Julio should be able to blow away the Marlins hitters, with the exceptions of Stanton, Yelich, and Bour. If they can avoid those guys taking them deep, I like the Braves odds in every single one of these games.

CPA Predictions:

The CPA finally went 3-0, 32-37 on the year, but it came at the expense of the Braves getting swept. What does it think about this 4 game series this weekend?

Game 1 - Marlins by 1
Game 2 - Marlins by 1
Game 3 - Marlins by 3
Game 4 - Marlins by 2

Uhhhhhh, yeah the CPA doesn't share my enthusiasm. Possibly because the Braves have been such a disaster at the plate lately, it doesn't give them much credit against this lineup either. Yeesh, if we get 4-game swept by the Fish at home, you'll hear about it on Tuesday. I hope it's wrong.

GO BRAVES

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