Monday, April 11, 2016

Series Preview: Braves v. Nationals April 11-14, 2016

The Braves are playing poorly right now, so there's not much to say about this matchup except we better not lose them all on the road. If they start the season 0-9, you might see people completely give up on the team before April is out.

Let's look at the matchups:

Game 1 - Norris v. Scherzer
Game 2 - Chacin v. Gonzalez
Game 3 - Wisler v. Strasburg
Game 4 - Teheran v. Roark

Not a ton of data to work with yet, so I'll speak in broad strokes about the two staffs. Bud Norris is currently the best starter on the Braves by ERA, and that's not a good thing. Scherzer and Strasburg both took it to the Braves in Turner field, and they both have ERA's under 2.60 to show for their efforts. Nobody on the Braves staff even approaches that.

The interesting matchup to me will be Chacin and Gonzalez since they haven't had a start yet, and if you watched any spring training games Chacin was one of the guys who made a name for himself with a 3.18 ERA in 11 innings. HOWEVER, he did give up 15 hits in that stretch so his WHIP is a major issue. I'm praying he can keep the hits down in this game or it won't matter if the Braves are scoring that day.

The biggest thing for me so far is the walks. The Braves pitching staff right now has given up 27 walks in 5 games. That's 4th worst in the majors and a recipe for disaster every single night you take the mound. We have to stop walking people or the holes will just keep getting bigger and bigger. Not to mention the errors that give teams extra outs.

CPA Predictions

The CPA went 1-2 on the Nats series because it thought the Braves might win a couple games. HA! It knows better now. Let's see what it predicts.

Game 1 - Nationals by 4
Game 2 - Nationals by 2
Game 3 - Nationals by 3
Game 4 - Nationals by 1

Yeah it's predicting a clean sweep and further misery. I can only hope it's dead wrong but with an 0-5 it probably won't predict a win again until we put one up on the scoreboard. Maybe we pull one out in Washington.


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