Friday, May 8, 2015

Braves and Nats in the Nation's Capital


OK so I'm pressed for time today, but I'll make this short and sweet. If the Braves want to get this trip off on the right foot, they need to beat up on the Nationals. And Bryce Harper needs to shut his mouth instead of running it 24/7 every time he remotely starts to hit the ball. Mike Trout, he ain't.

Game 1 - Stults v. Gonzalez
Game 2 - Teheran v. Fister
Game 3 - Wood v. Zimmerman

I'd feel better with game one if it were Miller instead of Stults. I just would. Gonzalez is the kind of pitcher that really has issues with the Braves, and I would hope that means we could rough him up for a few runs. However, Stults is the kind of pitcher that can get dinged for 5 runs, so this might be a high-scoring game where it comes down to bullpens. And if it comes down to pens, the Braves are honestly screwed the way our pen is going right now. To beat Gonzalez, Simmons and Freddie are going to have to stay hot since they've had the best success against him lifetime, with a combined 14 RBIs, 13 runs scored, and 4 homers. If that top of the order can get him, Gio will fold. But Stults then has to be the guy who won the game against Washington at home 8-4.

Teheran v. Fister? Honestly which Julio is showing up? If the good Julio shows up, the Braves had no problem taking care of Fister last time. If the bad Julio shows up? Game goes completely off the rails and the Braves lose badly. That's about all the analysis you need on this one.

Alex Wood hasn't won a game for the Braves in ages. His last win was a month ago on April 7th. Since then it's just been a stream of losses and several short outings for Wood. I don't see why that will change in this series unless he decides to finally cut it loose and listen to Roger. Meanwhile, Zimmerman didn't need to be good against the Braves last time he pitched since the Nationals scored 13 runs. Who was pitching that day? Oh right, Wood. Exactly. I hate this matchup.

CPA Predictions:

The CPA went 2-1 last series, and we missed the sweep by one. I don't have time to catch up on the math this week but I'll run it after the weekend. Here are the picks.

Game 1: Braves by 1
Game 2: Braves by 1
Game 3: Nationals by 4

CPA favors the Braves slightly in all the matchups except Wood. Because his track record is pretty meh to get the win. Maybe he's due? We'll see.

Go Braves!

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