Friday, August 2, 2013

Weekend Series Preview: Phillies

The weekend series looks like it will revolve around the Braves ability to continue to produce runs with this lineup on the road. The home games have been proven a resounding success, but the road affairs have typically left Braves fans wondering what went wrong. On to the matchups:

Game 1 - Medlen (7-10) v. Martin (0-0)
Game 2 - Beachy (0-0) v. TBD
Game 3 - Wood (1-2) v. Lannan (3-4)

So right off the bat you should notice this isn't exactly the best set of pitching matchups we're likely to see. In fact, Pettibone was scratched from the game 2 start with arm something or other. He probably saw the scoreboard from Atlanta and thought better of it. In any case game 1 features Medlen coming off a win at home against the Cardinals. However, when it comes to the Phillies, he's been less than stellar. In fact the Phillies lineup has a combined .373 average off him, but the good news is that guys like Ryan Howard and Dominic Brown are sitting on the DL. That may help Medlen's chances to keep the game in check long enough for the Braves to get to Ethan Martin. Martin is a rookie who's never pitched in the majors before. Hmmm. Can't really preview that at all. Hit em hard, Braves!

Game 2 isn't worth discussing unless we know what scrub Philly plans to toss out there. We know Beachy was shaky in his last game, and got nailed for 7 runs. However, his history against the Phillies is stellar with a .222 BAA. If the Phillies pull a guy out of the stands to pitch, and Beachy can give up less than 7 runs, we might have ourselves a good ballgame.

Game 3 involves Wood, coming off his first win of the season versus Lannan who has given Atlanta fits over the last 3 years. This is the kind of game where Philly fans would see an advantage on the pure matchup. Lannan is 6-1 in his last 8 starts against the Braves with a 2.96 ERA. The Braves have had trouble really getting to the lefty previously, but they are coming off one of their hottest hitting series of the year. Wood has obviously never faced the Phillies as a starter before, but he's struggled in the two games of relief he had this year against their lineup. It'll be some lefty on lefty action in this game with the winner likely the guy who keeps the other lineup from going deep.

The CPA won against last night, moving to a 56-36 record. 20 games over .500 baby! On to the weekend predictions.

CPA Prediction Game 1: Braves 6 - Phillies 4
CPA Prediction Game 2: Braves 5 - Phillies 2
CPA Prediction Game 3: Phillies 3 - Braves 1

The CPA likes the Braves hot hands in the first two games, but the troubles with Lannan give the Phillies the edge over our rookie hurler in Game 3. Can't say I argue too much with that logic. Hopefully the lineup continues to find the RISP magic it held in Turner long enough to transfer it to Citizen's Bank Park.


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