Monday, July 29, 2013

Series Preview: Rockies

The Rockies don't play well on the road. The Braves play exceptionally well at home. I like that combination. On to the matchups!

Game 1 - Beachy (0-0) v. De la Rosa (10-5)
Game 2 - Wood (0-2) v. Nicasio (6-4)
Game 3 - Minor (10-5) v. Chatwood (7-3)
Game 4 - Teheran (7-5) v. Player to be named later

Oh look, Beachy's back! Since he's pitched absolutely no games this season, it should be interesting to see how he reacts to the Colorado lineup. The hitters on Colorado, while less talented on the road, still pack some major pop. De la Rosa has pitched extremely well for a Rockies team not known for pitching, holding a sub-3.00 ERA, and a 4-4 road record. Here's the thing to remember about DLR though, he walks a ton of people. If you're a patient hitter you can get several walks to set up big innings. As for Beachy? Stay healthy and run slow on the bases. As Bobby would say, "EASY! EASY!"

Wood might be the only real choice the Braves have to fill in the back in spot, but that doesn't mean it's a great choice. his last game against the Mets was a disaster. However, the lineup wasn't exactly going to bail him out, and the bullpen laid an egg that cost them the loss. I like Wood, and I think his delivery is good for confusing hitters. What I don't like is that when he pitches, we typically wave the white flag lineup out there. Give him a good set of players to back him up on Tuesday, and let's see what happens against Nicasio. Juan Nicasio isn't a good pitcher. He's a 4.91 ERA with a .283 BAA on the road. A few Braves like Freddie, Heyward, and CJ have a .500 average in a small sample off Juan. I like our chances if Wood pitches with the full deck.

Minor can't be much better than he was against the Cardinals, but his 6 earned runs in the last 4 games speak for themselves. He's pitching out of his mind right now, win or lose. He'll face off Tyler Chatwood, also with 6 earned runs in his last 4 games, and HE'S pitching out of his mind. Two completely crazy pitchers are about to take the mound, and it's going to be interest to watch. I honestly don't know what to expect, other than a solid duel. Both pitchers have been better lately, but historically they have issues with the opposing lineup. This one comes across as a type of game where the first team to score 3 runs might take it.

I can't really preview a game where I don't know who's going to pitch yet, but I do know Teheran is on fire right now. The Braves will look to rely on him shutting down the Rockies at home, and possibly earn his team high 5th shutout in Turner Field.

CPA Prediction Game 1: Braves 5 - Rockies 3

The CPA isn't drawing off a lot of data here on Beachy, but it feels pretty good about the Braves chances to score runs at home.


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